2012 May 23 |
 |
http://www.theatlanticright.com/2010/07/29/popular-vote-legislation-would-disenfranchise-some-voters/
3
0
  |   3 comments

This guy just found out his state's electoral votes, properly won by a Republican, will instead go to a Democrat.

On Tuesday, Massachusetts became the latest state to pass the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, that would assign the state’s electoral votes for President and Vice President to the winner of the most popular votes.

For the sake of foreign readers: in our system, the two offices are indirectly elected by an Electoral College. The person getting the most votes in a state typically gets all the electoral votes for the state (though there are exceptions), the number of which are assigned by population. In some rare cases, the combination of electoral votes from the various states means one candidate can get more electoral votes, while the other gets more popular votes. However, as the electoral votes are the deciding factor, the first person would be elected.

This legislation is being touted as a way to fix that problem without having to drop the Electoral College entirely, which would require a constitutional amendment.  However, this law is certainly not the remedy, and would in fact disenfranchise many voters in states that enact it.

This is because of the fact that the state gives all of its electoral votes to the winner of the popular vote.

I’m thinking of places like Colorado. Even though they voted for Obama last election, they’re not a solidly blue state. In fact, Republicans have won there more since 1900 than have Democrats.  The law hasn’t passed there yet (it’s failed three times), but with things in that state trending blue, it’s possible the law might pass in the future.

With a state like Colorado, that can change its mind from election to election, the side-effect is that if, say, Obama wins in 2012, but the residents of Colorado vote for his Republican opponent, then under the compact the electoral votes would go to Obama, and not the Republican. I’d sure feel angry if I know my state voted one way, but the other candidate got more electoral votes than they deserved, because the law says my state must do it that way.

This could have the effect of transferring large numbers of electoral votes to candidates who did not win a state. Take Ohio for instance. Their legislature is currently split in control between the two parties, but that doesn’t mean it’ll always be that way. If a law passes there, I mean, Ohio has 20 electoral votes. In the above example, Obama’s opponent would lose 29 EVs between them and Colorado, should the two vote the way they did in 2000 and 2004 (for Bush).

While I do think the Electoral College has some flaws, it is actually a fairly good system. Elections like 2000 were outliers. I think it is completely unfair for a candidate who won a state fair and square to have to potentially lose electoral votes in states they won, because a group of people want to fix a problem that actually happens very rarely. If we are to reform the electoral system, it should be to eliminate the flaws that allow a 2000 election to happen, and not in ways that will cause voter disenfranchisement.

Edit (8/16): Re-wrote a portion about the law’s status that no longer made sense to me, though I know it did at the time of posting.

  1. Posted by Interested
    | Quote | Trackback | Link #111770
    Interested actually i'd call it illegal. The entire reason the electoral college was set up was not due to not trusting the people. A larger part of it was due to States not wanting to be held to the whim's of larger States that had a higher population. I can find no flaws in the current Electoral College system. I do though - find flaws in the individual State's methods for awarding or counting votes.
    • Michael_Merritt I can't say anything to its legality. I guess that'll be up to the courts, should someone wish to take it up. If this does get enacted, I expect that some disenfranchised voters from a state that voted for one person, but gave their electoral votes to another, will do.
      I do though - find flaws in the individual State's methods for awarding or counting votes.
      How so? Do you take issue with the majority first past the post, or the alternatives in Nebraska and New Hampshire?
  2. Posted by Interested
    | Quote | Trackback | Link #111784
    Interested I'm sure they will, doing an end run around the Constitution isn't exactly a strong defense for a bad law. Nebraska & New Hampshire? Do you mean Nebraska and Maine? For States, I never liked a winner take all, personally I think people live in Counties and pay taxes to Counties first, State Second, Federal third. All Federal funds for State funding ultimately get divided by Counties. As such I'd think a modification of Colorado's proposal in 2004 would be best representative of the Nation. I.E. If candidate A wins 60% of the State's Counties - they get 60% of the Electoral votes. Every single argument against the Electoral College is a reason it was founded to begin with.