Starting with their devastating defeat in the 2006 elections and expanding after the 2008 election debacle, Republicans have been struggling to redefine their coalition for the 21st century. This sort of process is routine for parties in decline, and the Republican troubles are similar to those confronted by the Democratic Party after the 1980 and 1994 election defeats. The problems are the same in that both parties have had to struggle with disparate internal elements warring with each other for control of the party and pointing fingers of blame at each other for electoral failures.
But layered on top of the typical problems of a stint in the political wilderness, Republicans must confront a unique problem — their reconstruction must take place in an environment where their ideological and political enemies are completely and unaccountably empowered to define the terms of the conflict. Or, as Peggy Noonan puts it in a typically insightful column:
The argument over the Republican party now always devolves into the question: Should it be less conservative? I say devolves because it is Democrats and the left who frame the question that way, and they do so because whatever the answer, yes or no, it will damage Republicans.
The problem for Republicans is that staunchly anti-Republican liberals dominate the high ground in the media and blogosphere. As a result, all factions of Republicans are in a no-win situation. Social conservatives are anathema to media and blogging liberals, and the liberal hatred for the social conservatives is sufficient to render social conservatives persona non grata to the entire realm of debate in the environs that liberals control. Thus, to whatever degree social conservatives retain influence in the Republican Party, it is not possible for Republicans to receive a fair hearing.
On the surface, this would seem to empower the other Republican factions — fiscal conservatives and libertarians — with an opportunity to capture the party with the support of outside liberals. But a closer examination of the incentives and tactics of liberals shows the opposite to be true. For even as some of them will claim to desire a Republican revival under a more moderate banner, it is interesting to note how media and blogging liberals will eagerly take any opportunity to exaggerate the degree of social conservative influence and the complicity of Republican moderates, fiscal conservatives, and libertarians. In order to maintain their now-absolute political hegemony, those liberals that pretend to support a moderate Republican revival actually have very strong reasons to nip any such revival in the bud. For what better way to keep Republicans down permanently and Democrats empowered indefinitely than to keep all Republicans rhetorically linked with the hopelessly discredited social conservatives?
This insight is what may explain the continuing obsession of the liberal and faux moderate media and blogosphere with the defeated and completely disempowered social conservative wings of the Republican Party. The continuing obsession in segments of the blogosphere with the defeated Republican vice-presidential candidate is historically unprecedented and would be inexplicable except for the long-term utility with using Sarah Palin as a rhetorical bind that keeps Republicans from reforming into a more effective political force. And the startlingly shameless reversals in the liberal and faux moderate media and blogosphere on issues ranging from budgetary accountability to Senate filibusters to the virtues of bipartisan consultation would be difficult to explain if not for the possibility that those “principled” poses were and are quite simply a sham used to cover up hardball political manipulations.
One would think that absolute power for Democrats would mean no excuses, but that doesn’t seem to be the way it actually plays in the revenge-obsessed leftist and faux moderate media and blogosphere. One would think that absolute power for Democrats would mean no excuses, but that doesn’t seem to be the way it actually plays in the revenge-obsessed leftist and faux moderate media and blogosphere. Instead, they will find mild-sounding excuses for the exact same things they would breathlessly condemn just a few months ago. Again. And again. And again. Some liberals even fantasize openly about a permanent one-party state in the United States — a concept they would have breathlessly called “dictatorship” just a couple of years ago.
The real problem for Republicans, then, is trying to find a mechanism to circumvent their enemies evident willingness and ability to define them in terms that render the Republican Party permanently ineffective while at the same time evading any reciprocal accountability that might allow for Republican resurgence through the back door. Given the no-holds-barred ground rules that have been set by the current dominant players in the media and blogosphere, it will be difficult for the Republicans to mount an effective resistance. Quite simply, any resistance can be instantly distorted, misrepresented, and caricatured out of existence — if not by self-destructive ideological enforcers within the Republican Party itself, then by disingenuous liberals and faux moderates eager to justify an endless anti-Republican jihad that carries both political and emotional rewards for them.
It’s going to be an ugly next 4 years.
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