
During an interview with The Atlantic, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons. Either, he said, the international community puts tighter sanctions on Tehran, or military action will have to take place. If this latter is the only option left, Israel hopes the U.S. will do it but, if not, the Jewish nation-state will do it herself.
The Atlantic summarizes Netanyahu’s words of warning as follows: “Netanyahu to Obama: Stop Iran or I Will.”
Although this summary isn’t completely wrong, it’s not completely accurate either. Netanyahu clearly emphasized a diplomatic solution: he believes there is still time to force Iran to give up its nuclear project if the international community finally unites and promises to ruin the country’s economy if necessary.
Having said that, Netanyahu’s views are clear. He believes a nuclear Iran will pose an existential threat to Israel. Additionally, he fears that one of Iran’s main goals may be to scare Israelis into migrating. This is a very real danger: higher educated Israelis are expected to leave in droves if Iran gets its hands on weapons of mass destruction. This would rather obviously weaken Israel sigifnificantly.
An Israel attack against Iran is truly a scenario from hell. It could very well cause a regional war, in which the U.S. may be forced to take sides (with Israel obviously). Arab countries aren’t happy with Iran’s growing influence in the region, but they can’t possibly side with Israel when the latter attacks a ‘fellow Muslim’ country nonetheless. They’ll side with Iran, not because they want to but because their peoples will dispose of them if they don’t. The U.S. will rightly choose Israel’s side, meaning that it will be at odds with valuable yet nominal Middle Eastern allies (like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Lebanon, etc.).
It is, again, a nightmare scenario. If the U.S. would attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, the Arab word will condemn it but it will not do anything about it. If, however, Israel goes in and carries out airstrikes against a Muslim country, the Middle East may be subjected to an extremely aggressive and hateful regional war. No, if using force is the only possible solution to the problem, it’s best that Washington takes responsibility and steps up to the plate.
Also blogged at the Weekly Standard and Power Line.
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